Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.072287 0.081160 0.090254 0.100242 0.110875 0.121829 0.133939
2025-05-18 0.058579 0.071901 0.086254 0.102730 0.120992 0.140489 0.162761
2025-05-25 0.049131 0.065117 0.083073 0.104420 0.128807 0.155526 0.186749
2025-06-01 0.039830 0.057002 0.077086 0.101748 0.130692 0.163116 0.201733
2025-06-08 0.032691 0.050460 0.072064 0.099390 0.132233 0.169732 0.215107
2025-06-15 0.029010 0.047717 0.071195 0.101591 0.138793 0.181875 0.234615
2025-06-22 0.025440 0.044670 0.069584 0.102577 0.143656 0.191857 0.251491
2025-06-29 0.023787 0.044000 0.070847 0.107011 0.152613 0.206634 0.273977
2025-07-06 0.020928 0.041308 0.069210 0.107564 0.156646 0.215428 0.289336
2025-07-13 0.021012 0.042882 0.073285 0.115497 0.169901 0.235398 0.318086
2025-07-20 0.017690 0.038985 0.069625 0.113108 0.170021 0.239305 0.327530
2025-07-27 0.016649 0.038517 0.070661 0.116882 0.177931 0.252734 0.348457
2025-08-03 0.014122 0.035529 0.068145 0.116066 0.180291 0.259797 0.362332
2025-08-10 0.012686 0.034236 0.068040 0.118554 0.187019 0.272437 0.383242
2025-08-17 0.011242 0.032733 0.067496 0.120352 0.192804 0.283901 0.402754
2025-08-24 0.008968 0.029318 0.063759 0.117429 0.192160 0.287121 0.411987
2025-08-31 0.007102 0.026324 0.060415 0.114854 0.191813 0.290597 0.421446
2025-09-07 0.006346 0.025515 0.060524 0.117255 0.198177 0.302660 0.441645
2025-09-14 0.005464 0.024258 0.059785 0.118331 0.202687 0.312320 0.458840
2025-09-21 0.005224 0.024480 0.061547 0.123164 0.212401 0.328763 0.484643
2025-09-28 0.004428 0.023165 0.060558 0.123767 0.216212 0.337516 0.500740
2025-10-05 0.004735 0.024777 0.064777 0.132396 0.231294 0.361065 0.535685
2025-10-12 0.003651 0.022414 0.061770 0.129800 0.230575 0.363882 0.544280